Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 28

The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) will try to continue a four-game win streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at American Airlines Center as 6.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 9:30 p.m. ET on .

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Listen to the game on 97.1 The Eagle

Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final score of Thunder 115, Mavericks 105.

• Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-230)
• Total Pick: Under 229.5 (computer predicts 220.3 points)
• Pick ATS: Thunder (-6.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Mavericks Matchups

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

• Against the spread, Oklahoma City was 39-43-0 last year.
• The Thunder's ATS record as 6.5-point favorites or more was 34-34 last year.
• Of Oklahoma City's 82 games last year, 45 went over the total.
• The Thunder finished with a 62-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 80.5% of those games).
• In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -230 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City had a record of 57-11 (83.8%).

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

• Dallas put together a 37-45-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Mavericks had an ATS record of 21-21 as underdogs of 6.5 points or greater last season.
• In Dallas' games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 37 times.
• The Mavericks won 15, or 25.4%, of the 59 games they played as underdogs last season.
• Dallas had a record of 9-33, a 21.4% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +188 or more by bookmakers last season.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Cason Wallace: Out (Shoulder),

Jalen Williams: Out (Ankle),

Nikola Topic: Out (Back),

Thomas Sorber: Out (Knee),

Chet Holmgren: Out (Knee),

Ajay Mitchell: Questionable (Ankle),

Alex Caruso: Out (Ankle)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Knee),

Santi Aldama: Day-To-Day (Knee),

Tarik Biberovic: Day-To-Day (Heel),

Caleb Martin: Questionable (Thumb),

Sergio De Larrea: Out (Knee),

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

Naji Marshall: Questionable (Illness)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

• Game day: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel:
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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