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The Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2) will try to continue a three-game win streak when they play the Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) on the road on Friday, Oct. 23 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here is our pick for who will secure the win in Friday's game.
Lightning vs. Avalanche Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final tally of Avalanche 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-129)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.6 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Avalanche Splits and Trends
- The Avalanche (5-4-1 overall) have a -1-1 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
- Colorado is 1-3-0 (two points) in its four games decided by one goal.
- Colorado finished 0-2-1 in the three games this season when it scored two goals (registering one point).
- The Avalanche are 5-2-0 in the seven games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 10 points).
- In the two games when Colorado has recorded a lone power-play goal, it won both times (four points).
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Colorado is 2-3-1 (five points).
- The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in three games, going 2-1-0 to record four points.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 1-0-1 record in overtime games this season and a 7-2 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
- This season the Lightning registered just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
- So far this season, the Lightning have scored at least three goals seven times and won each of those games.
- Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in four games this season and won all of those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 5-1-0 (10 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in three games. The Lightning went 2-1-0 in those matchups (four points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Avalanche Rank | Avalanche AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 4.10 | Goals Scored | 3.44 | 9th |
| 13th | 3.00 | Goals Allowed | 2.56 | 8th |
| 3rd | 30.6 | Shots | 29.8 | 8th |
| 17th | 27.3 | Shots Allowed | 24.2 | 4th |
| 22nd | 18.75% | Power Play % | 12.90% | 29th |
| 9th | 82.61% | Penalty Kill % | 79.17% | 17th |
Lightning vs. Avalanche Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
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