Photo: Rich Storry / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Minnesota Timberwolves are just 1.5-point underdogs against the Miami Heat in the season opener for both teams at Kaseya Center on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final tally of Heat 119, Timberwolves 117.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-119)
- Total Pick: Under 243.5 (computer predicts 235.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-1.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 238.5 | -204 | +169 | 122-94 MIN |
| 1/3/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 235.5 | -141 | +119 | 125-115 MIN |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami's record against the spread last season was 46-35-1.
- The Heat went 23-18 as 1.5-point favorites or more last season.
- Miami had 46 of its 82 games hit the over last season.
- The Heat won 62.5% of the games last season in which they were the moneyline favorite (25-15).
- When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter last year, Miami had a record of 24-14 (63.2%).
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota put together a 38-44-0 record against the spread last season.
- The Timberwolves had an ATS record of 11-12 as underdogs of 1.5 points or greater last year.
- Minnesota and its opponent combined to hit the over 38 out of 82 times last season.
- The Timberwolves won eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 games they played as underdogs last season.
- Last season, Minnesota won eight of its 21 games, or 38.1%, when it was the underdog by at least -101 on the moneyline.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out (Calf)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles)
Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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