Mavericks vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 21

Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets

Photo: Kenneth Richmond / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Mavericks will start their 2026-27 season as 8.5-point underdogs against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The game tips at 8:30 p.m. ET on .

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Rockets 122, Mavericks 106.

  • Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-358)
  • Total Pick: Under 230.5 (computer predicts 228.6 points)
  • Pick ATS: Rockets (-8.5)

Recent Mavericks vs. Rockets Matchups

Rockets vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/31/2026 Rockets -10.5 222.5 -413 +320 111-107 HOU
1/3/2026 Rockets -8 227.5 -321 +257 110-104 DAL
12/6/2025 Rockets -6.5 221.5 -268 +218 122-109 DAL
11/3/2025 Rockets -12.5 225.5 -667 +484 110-102 HOU

Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, Houston was 36-46-0 last season.
  • The Rockets had an ATS record of 10-21 as 8.5-point favorites or greater last season.
  • Of Houston's 82 games last season, 39 went over the total.
  • The Rockets won 48 of the 72 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (66.7%).
  • Houston had a record of 20-7 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -358 or shorter last year (74.1%).

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Dallas went 37-45-0 ATS last season.
  • As 8.5-point underdogs or greater, the Mavericks went 14-16 against the spread last season.
  • Dallas and its opponent combined to hit the over 37 out of 82 times last season.
  • Last season, the Mavericks won 15 out of the 59 games, or 25.4%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Dallas had a record of 5-20, a 20% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +284 or more by sportsbooks last season.

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets: None

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

Santi Aldama: Out (Knee)

Mavericks vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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