Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - Oct. 17

Buffalo Sabres v Toronto Maple Leafs

Photo: Chris Tanouye / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The New York Islanders (3-3-1), losers of three straight road games, visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we predict will capture the win in Saturday's game.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-140)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 3-3-2 overall and 1-2-3 in overtime contests.
  • In the six games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 2-3-1 record (good for five points).
  • Toronto finished 1-2-0 in the three games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals five times, and are 2-1-2 in those games (to register six points).
  • In the four games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 2-1-1 record (five points).
  • When it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 1-1-0 (two points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in five games. The Maple Leafs went 2-1-2 in those contests (six points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders have earned a record of -1-1 in overtime games on their way to an overall mark of 3-3-1.
  • New York has earned two points (1-1-0) in its two games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Islanders scored just one goal in two games and they finished 0-1-1 in those matchups.
  • New York failed to win the only game this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Islanders have earned six points in their four games with three or more goals scored.
  • This season, New York has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in four games and picked up four points with a record of 2-2-0.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 1-1-1 (three points).
  • The Islanders have been outshot by opponents in four games, going 2-2-0 to register four points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
9th 3.50 Goals Scored 2.86 22nd
22nd 3.38 Goals Allowed 2.29 3rd
14th 27.9 Shots 25.6 22nd
29th 30.5 Shots Allowed 26.0 13th
4th 29.63% Power Play % 18.18% 19th
1st 96.15% Penalty Kill % 85.19% 10th

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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