Photo: Tyler Schank / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) take on the Buffalo Sabres (3-3-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, Oct. 15 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams heading into the game following a loss. The Maple Leafs were defeated by the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in their most recent outing, while the Sabres are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Montreal Canadiens.
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Here's our pick for who will claim the victory in Thursday's matchup.
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 5, Sabres 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-122)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs are 3-3-1 overall and 1-1-2 in overtime contests.
- Toronto is 2-3-0 (four points) in its five games decided by one goal.
- Toronto finished 1-2-0 in the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering two points).
- The Maple Leafs are 2-1-1 in the four games when they have scored at least three goals (to record five points).
- In the three games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 2-1-0 to register four points.
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 1-1-0 (two points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in four games. The Maple Leafs finished 2-1-1 in those matchups (five points).
Sabres Splits and Trends
- The Sabres have a 3-3-1 record this season and are 1-1-2 in contests that have gone to overtime.
- Buffalo has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
- This season the Sabres recorded only one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
- The Sabres have scored more than two goals five times, earning seven points from those matchups (3-1-1).
- In the only game when Buffalo has recorded a lone power-play goal, it lost.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Buffalo has posted a record of 3-2-0 (six points).
- The Sabres have been outshot by opponents twice, and earned a single point in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Sabres AVG | Sabres Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9th | 3.43 | Goals Scored | 2.71 | 22nd |
| 20th | 3.14 | Goals Allowed | 3.57 | 23rd |
| 14th | 27.6 | Shots | 25.7 | 22nd |
| 28th | 29.9 | Shots Allowed | 23.9 | 5th |
| 5th | 29.17% | Power Play % | 11.11% | 30th |
| 1st | 95.83% | Penalty Kill % | 60.87% | 30th |
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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