Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - Oct. 15

Toronto Maple Leafs v Colorado Avalanche

Photo: Tyler Schank / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) take on the Buffalo Sabres (3-3-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, Oct. 15 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams heading into the game following a loss. The Maple Leafs were defeated by the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in their most recent outing, while the Sabres are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Montreal Canadiens.

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Here's our pick for who will claim the victory in Thursday's matchup.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 5, Sabres 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-122)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 3-3-1 overall and 1-1-2 in overtime contests.
  • Toronto is 2-3-0 (four points) in its five games decided by one goal.
  • Toronto finished 1-2-0 in the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering two points).
  • The Maple Leafs are 2-1-1 in the four games when they have scored at least three goals (to record five points).
  • In the three games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 2-1-0 to register four points.
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 1-1-0 (two points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in four games. The Maple Leafs finished 2-1-1 in those matchups (five points).

Sabres Splits and Trends

  • The Sabres have a 3-3-1 record this season and are 1-1-2 in contests that have gone to overtime.
  • Buffalo has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
  • This season the Sabres recorded only one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
  • The Sabres have scored more than two goals five times, earning seven points from those matchups (3-1-1).
  • In the only game when Buffalo has recorded a lone power-play goal, it lost.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Buffalo has posted a record of 3-2-0 (six points).
  • The Sabres have been outshot by opponents twice, and earned a single point in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Sabres AVG Sabres Rank
9th 3.43 Goals Scored 2.71 22nd
20th 3.14 Goals Allowed 3.57 23rd
14th 27.6 Shots 25.7 22nd
28th 29.9 Shots Allowed 23.9 5th
5th 29.17% Power Play % 11.11% 30th
1st 95.83% Penalty Kill % 60.87% 30th

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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