The Colorado Avalanche (3-1) and Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-1) face off at Ball Arena on Saturday, Oct. 10 at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network. The Avalanche knocked off the Calgary Flames 7-3 in their last game, while the Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Vegas Golden Knights.
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As hockey action continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we predict will win Saturday's game.
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final score of Avalanche 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-224)
- Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 7.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Avalanche (-1.5)
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Avalanche Splits and Trends
- The Avalanche (55-16-11 overall) had a 9-11-20 record last season in matchups that required overtime.
- Colorado was 13-5-5 (31 points) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
- In the 10 games last season the Avalanche recorded just one goal, they went 3-5-2 (eight points).
- Colorado finished 6-8-3 in the 17 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 15 points).
- The Avalanche scored three or more goals in 67 games (54-7-6, 114 points).
- In the 31 games when Colorado recorded a single power-play goal, it went 21-4-6 to record 48 points.
- When it outshot its opponent, Colorado was 48-16-9 (105 points).
- The Avalanche's opponent had more shots in 17 games last season. The Avalanche went 13-4-0 in those contests (26 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 1-1-2 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 2-2-1.
- In the four games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up four points.
- Toronto has two points (1-2-0) in three games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
- The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals two times, earning three points from those matchups (1-0-1).
- Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in three games this season and has registered four points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent, Toronto is 1-1-0 (two points) this season.
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in two games, going 1-0-1 to register three points.
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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)
| Avalanche Rank | Avalanche AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.63 | Goals Scored | 3.07 | 16th |
| 1st | 2.40 | Goals Allowed | 3.60 | 31st |
| 1st | 33.7 | Shots | 26.2 | 24th |
| 5th | 26.1 | Shots Allowed | 32.4 | 32nd |
| 27th | 17.11% | Power Play % | 21.21% | 16th |
| 1st | 84.62% | Penalty Kill % | 81.22% | 8th |