Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - Oct. 10

The Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1) will attempt to prolong a three-game win streak when they face the New York Islanders (2-2) on the road on Saturday, Oct. 10 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final score of Lightning 3, Islanders 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-181)
• Total Pick: Under 5.5 (computer predicts 5.1 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning were 50-26-6 overall and 12-8-20 in overtime games last season.
• Tampa Bay picked up 34 points (14-12-6) in the 32 games it played that were decided by one goal.
• The 11 times last season the Lightning finished a game with just one goal, they went 3-7-1 (seven points).
• Tampa Bay finished 5-12-4 in the 21 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 14 points).
• The Lightning were 45-7-3 when they scored more than two goals (to register 93 points).
• In the 30 games when Tampa Bay scored a lone power-play goal, it went 17-9-4 to register 38 points.
• In games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 30-15-6 (66 points).
• The Lightning were outshot by their opponent in 36 games, going 21-13-2 to record 44 points.

Islanders Splits and Trends

• The Islanders had a record of 43-34-5 last season and were 14-5-19 in overtime games.
• New York accumulated 46 points (23-11-0) in its 34 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• Last season the Islanders registered only one goal in 15 games, and went 2-12-1 (five points).
• New York picked up 19 points (9-11-1 record) last season when scoring a pair of goals .
• The Islanders picked up 65 points in their 43 games when they scored at least three goals.
• New York scored a single power-play goal in 24 games last season and recorded 32 points.
• When outshooting its opponent last season, New York was 14-20-4 (32 points).
• The Islanders were outshot by their opponents in 39 games last season, going 26-13-0 to register 52 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

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