Senators vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - Oct. 5

Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins - Game Four

Photo: Maddie Meyer / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Ottawa Senators (1-0) square off against the Boston Bruins (2-1) at TD Garden on Monday, Oct. 5 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Senators knocked off the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in their most recent outing, while the Bruins are coming off a 4-1 loss to the Minnesota Wild.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which team will secure the win in Monday's hockey action.

Senators vs. Bruins Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Bruins 4, Senators 1.

  • Moneyline Pick: Bruins (-105)
  • Total Pick: Under 5.5 (computer predicts 5.0 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Bruins (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators (44-27-11 overall) had a 6-12-18 record last season in matchups that went to overtime.
  • In the 35 games Ottawa played that were decided by one goal, it had a 13-11-11 record (good for 37 points).
  • In the 11 games last season the Senators scored only one goal, they finished 0-10-1.
  • Ottawa scored exactly two goals in 19 games last season (6-8-5 record, 17 points).
  • The Senators scored at least three goals in 54 games (38-10-6, 82 points).
  • In the 30 games when Ottawa scored a lone power-play goal, it went 17-7-6 to register 40 points.
  • In the 55 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Ottawa was 35-17-3 (73 points).
  • The Senators' opponent had more shots in 27 games last season. The Senators finished 8-11-8 in those matchups (24 points).

Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins had a 13-10-23 record in overtime contests last season, and a 45-27-10 overall record.
  • Boston picked up 41 points (17-9-7) in its 33 games decided by one goal.
  • In 15 games last season when the Bruins ended up with just one goal, they picked up four points (1-12-2).
  • Boston picked up 15 points (7-9-1 record) last season when scoring two goals .
  • The Bruins scored more than two goals 56 times, accumulating 85 points (39-10-7).
  • Boston scored a lone power-play goal in 37 games last season and picked up 42 points.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Boston was 18-11-3 (39 points).
  • The Bruins were outshot by their opponents in 53 games last season, going 29-17-7 to record 65 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)

Senators Rank Senators AVG Bruins AVG Bruins Rank
8th 3.35 Goals Scored 3.27 10th
13th 2.99 Goals Allowed 3.01 14th
8th 28.9 Shots 26.9 21st
2nd 24.3 Shots Allowed 29.6 27th
8th 24.05% Power Play % 23.40% 9th
29th 75.85% Penalty Kill % 76.98% 24th

Senators vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

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