Jets vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Oct. 5

Montreal Canadiens v Pittsburgh Penguins

Photo: Justin Berl / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0) host the Winnipeg Jets (1-0-1) at PPG Paints Arena on Monday, Oct. 5 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams fresh off of a victory. The Penguins are coming off a 6-5 overtime triumph over the Montreal Canadiens, while the Jets defeated the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in their most recent game.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which squad we predict will emerge with the victory in Monday's action on the ice.

Jets vs. Penguins Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Penguins 5, Jets 4.

  • Moneyline Pick: Penguins (-181)
  • Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 7.5 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Jets (+1.5)

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Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins (41-25-16 overall) had a 7-17-24 record last season in contests that required overtime.
  • In the 25 games Pittsburgh played that were decided by one goal, it had a 10-8-7 record (good for 27 points).
  • Looking at the eight times last season the Penguins ended a game with only one goal, they had a 0-5-3 record, picking up three points.
  • Pittsburgh took four points from the 13 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (0-9-4 record).
  • The Penguins scored three or more goals in 60 games (43-8-9, 95 points).
  • In the 30 games when Pittsburgh recorded a single power-play goal, it had a 15-8-7 record (37 points).
  • In the 48 games when it outshot its opponent, Pittsburgh was 22-16-10 (54 points).
  • The Penguins were outshot by their opponent 35 times, and went 16-12-7 (39 points).

Jets Splits and Trends

  • The Jets had a 7-12-19 record in overtime games last season, and a 35-35-12 overall record.
  • Winnipeg picked up 36 points (14-12-8) in its 34 games decided by one goal.
  • Last season the Jets scored just one goal in 15 games, and they picked up two points (0-13-2).
  • Winnipeg accumulated 10 points (4-6-2) when scoring exactly two goals last season.
  • The Jets scored at least three goals in 49 games, earning 70 points from those contests.
  • Winnipeg scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games last season and recorded 30 points.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Winnipeg was 14-15-3 (31 points).
  • The Jets were outshot by their opponents in 49 games last season, going 21-20-8 to record 50 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)

Penguins Rank Penguins AVG Jets AVG Jets Rank
3rd 3.54 Goals Scored 2.79 25th
24th 3.15 Goals Allowed 3.12 21st
10th 28.4 Shots 26.3 22nd
12th 27.3 Shots Allowed 27.7 15th
7th 24.14% Power Play % 18.50% 24th
7th 81.43% Penalty Kill % 77.63% 21st

Jets vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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