Photo: Chris Tanouye / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators take the ice at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, Oct. 3 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Before watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Senators 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Senators (-109)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.5 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs had a 32-36-14 record overall, with a 9-14-23 record in games that needed overtime, last season.
- In the 27 games Toronto played that were decided by one goal, it had a 13-4-10 record (good for 36 points).
- In the 11 games last season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal, they finished 0-9-2 (two points).
- Toronto scored exactly two goals in 22 games last season (5-12-5 record, 15 points).
- The Maple Leafs scored more than two goals in 47 games (27-13-7, 61 points).
- In the 25 games when Toronto scored a single power-play goal, it went 6-13-6 to register 18 points.
- In the 18 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 7-9-2 (16 points).
- The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent in 62 games, going 23-27-12 to register 58 points.
Senators Splits and Trends
- The Senators had a record of 44-27-11 last season and were 6-12-18 in overtime contests.
- In the 35 games Ottawa played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 37 points.
- Last season the Senators scored just one goal in 11 games, and they finished 0-10-1.
- Ottawa accumulated 17 points (6-8-5) when scoring exactly two goals last season.
- The Senators scored more than two goals in 54 games, earning 82 points from those contests.
- Ottawa scored a single power-play goal in 30 games last season and registered 40 points.
- When it outshot its opponent last season, Ottawa posted a record of 35-17-3 (73 points).
- The Senators were outshot by their opponents 27 times last season, and took 24 points from those games.
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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Senators AVG | Senators Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16th | 3.07 | Goals Scored | 3.35 | 8th |
| 31st | 3.60 | Goals Allowed | 2.99 | 13th |
| 24th | 26.2 | Shots | 28.9 | 8th |
| 32nd | 32.4 | Shots Allowed | 24.3 | 2nd |
| 16th | 21.21% | Power Play % | 24.05% | 8th |
| 8th | 81.22% | Penalty Kill % | 75.85% | 29th |
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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