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The Toronto Maple Leafs host the New York Islanders on Wednesday, Sept. 30 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which squad we predict will bring home the victory in Wednesday's action on the ice.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this matchup expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-131)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs were 32-36-14 overall and 9-14-23 in overtime matchups last season.
- Toronto was 13-4-10 (36 points) in its 27 games decided by one goal.
- In the 11 games last season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal, they finished 0-9-2 (two points).
- Toronto took 15 points from the 22 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (5-12-5 record).
- The Maple Leafs scored at least three goals in 47 games (27-13-7, 61 points).
- In the 25 games when Toronto scored a single power-play goal, it went 6-13-6 to register 18 points.
- In the 18 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 7-9-2 (16 points).
- The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent 62 times, and went 23-27-12 (58 points).
Islanders Splits and Trends
- The Islanders put up a record of 14-5-19 in overtime contests last season as part of an overall mark of 43-34-5.
- In the 34 games New York played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 46 points.
- In 15 games last season when the Islanders ended up with just one goal, they picked up five points (2-12-1).
- New York accumulated 19 points (9-11-1) when scoring exactly two goals last season.
- The Islanders scored three or more goals 43 times, accumulating 65 points (31-9-3).
- Last season New York scored a lone power-play goal in 24 games and picked up 32 points, with a record of 15-7-2.
- When outshooting its opponent last season, New York was 14-20-4 (32 points).
- The Islanders were outshot by their opponents in 39 games last season, going 26-13-0 to register 52 points.
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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Islanders AVG | Islanders Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16th | 3.07 | Goals Scored | 2.79 | 25th |
| 31st | 3.60 | Goals Allowed | 2.88 | 5th |
| 24th | 26.2 | Shots | 28.1 | 11th |
| 32nd | 32.4 | Shots Allowed | 27.6 | 14th |
| 16th | 21.21% | Power Play % | 16.53% | 30th |
| 8th | 81.22% | Penalty Kill % | 80.84% | 10th |
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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