Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 10

Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat

Photo: Rich Storry / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Two streaking teams square off when the Denver Nuggets (52-28) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (64-16) on Friday, April 10, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 11.5-point underdogs and will attempt to keep their 10-game win streak intact against the Nuggets, who have won 10 straight.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Friday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Thunder 119, Nuggets 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (+406)
  • Total Pick: Over 231.5 (computer predicts 232.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (+11.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups

Nuggets vs Thunder (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/9/2026 Thunder -5.5 234.5 -170 +143 129-126 OKC
2/27/2026 Thunder -7.5 235 -253 +206 127-121 OKC
2/1/2026 Thunder -6.5 226.5 -232 +191 121-111 OKC
5/18/2025 Thunder -8.5 214.5 -319 +257 125-93 OKC
5/15/2025 Thunder -5 217 -196 +163 119-107 DEN
5/13/2025 Thunder -10 222 -448 +345 112-105 OKC
5/11/2025 Thunder -6.5 228 -275 +224 92-87 OKC
5/9/2025 Thunder -6.5 232 -266 +217 113-104 DEN
5/7/2025 Thunder -10 229.5 -488 +371 149-106 OKC
5/5/2025 Thunder -10.5 228.5 -481 +366 121-119 DEN
3/10/2025 Thunder -8.5 240.5 -403 +315 140-127 DEN
3/9/2025 Thunder -7.5 243.5 -311 +249 127-103 OKC
11/6/2024 Thunder -7 224.5 -256 +215 124-122 DEN
10/24/2024 Nuggets -2 228.5 -134 +113 102-87 OKC

Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Denver has a 42-38-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 11.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 5-9 record against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 49 of Denver's 80 games with a set total.
  • The Nuggets have won 41, or 71.9%, of the 57 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Denver has won 13 of its 16 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -556 on the moneyline.

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City is 39-41-0 ATS this year.
  • Oklahoma City's games have hit the over 43 out of 80 times (53.8%).
  • The Thunder have put together a 2-2 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • Oklahoma City has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +406 or longer.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Nuggets

Nuggets:

Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),

Jamal Murray: Questionable (Shoulder),

Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Hamstring),

Nikola Jokic: Questionable (Wrist),

Spencer Jones: Out (Hamstring)

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Soleus),

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Oblique),

Alex Caruso: Out (Rest),

Isaiah Joe: Out (Knee),

Cason Wallace: Out (Toe),

Ajay Mitchell: Out (Ankle),

Chet Holmgren: Out (Back),

Jaylin Williams: Out (Achilles),

Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, April 10, 2026
  • Game time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ALT and FDSOK
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

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