Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - April 11

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Florida Panthers (37-38-4), losers of seven road games in a row, visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-33-14) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Saturday's hockey action.

The Panthers have put up 27 goals in their past 10 games, while allowing 39 goals. A total of 19 power-play opportunities during that time have resulted in three power-play goals (15.8%). They are 3-6-1 over those games.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-130)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Panthers (+1.5)

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 32-33-14 record overall, with a 9-14-23 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • In the 26 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-3-10 record (good for 36 points).
  • In the 10 games this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they've finished 0-8-2 (two points).
  • Toronto has scored two goals in 21 games this season (5-11-5 record, 15 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 46 games (27-12-7, 61 points).
  • In the 23 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 18 points after finishing 6-11-6.
  • In the 18 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 7-9-2 (16 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 59 games, going 23-24-12 to record 58 points.

Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers (37-38-4 overall) have posted a record of 8-4-12 in contests that have required OT this season.
  • Florida has earned 32 points (15-6-2) in its 23 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • Across the 18 games this season the Panthers ended with just one goal, they have earned five points.
  • Florida has earned 10 points (4-13-2 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 41 games, earning 63 points from those contests.
  • This season, Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal in 28 games has a record of 14-13-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 21-21-4 (46 points).
  • The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Panthers went 15-15-0 in those matchups (30 points).

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Panthers AVG Panthers Rank
16th 3.09 Goals Scored 2.9 21st
30th 3.54 Goals Allowed 3.41 28th
22nd 26.4 Shots 28.1 13th
32nd 32.4 Shots Allowed 26.8 10th
15th 20.73% Power Play % 19.39% 21st
5th 81.98% Penalty Kill % 80.83% 10th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Maple Leafs play Panthers.