Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 17

The New York Islanders (38-24-5) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-27-12) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, March 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team back in action after a victory. The Islanders are coming off a 3-2 triumph over the Calgary Flames, while the Maple Leafs knocked off the Minnesota Wild 4-2 in their most recent outing.

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Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which team will secure the win in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Maple Leafs have put up a 2-5-3 record during their last 10 games. They have scored 25 total goals (six power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 22.2%) while giving up 32 goals to their opponents.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+128)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Islanders Splits and Trends

• The Islanders are 14-5-19 in overtime contests on their way to a 38-24-5 overall record.
• In the 27 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 21-6-0 record (good for 42 points).
• The 11 times this season the Islanders finished a game with just one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• New York has finished 8-10-1 in the 19 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 17 points).
• The Islanders have scored at least three goals 35 times, and are 28-4-3 in those games (to register 59 points).
• In the 21 games when New York has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 30 points after finishing 14-5-2.
• In the 30 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, New York is 11-15-4 (26 points).
• The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 32 games. The Islanders went 24-8-0 in those matchups (48 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 8-12-20 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 29-27-12.
• In the 22 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 30 points.
• This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in seven games and they've earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
• When Toronto has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 15 points (5-10-5 record).
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 40 games, earning 53 points from those contests.
• This season, Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal in 21 games has a record of 6-9-6 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 6-8-2 (14 points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 50 games. The Maple Leafs finished 21-19-10 in those matchups (52 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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