Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 10

The Montreal Canadiens (34-18-10) take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-26-11) at Bell Centre on Tuesday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Canadiens knocked off the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in their most recent game, while the Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-2 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Maple Leafs have gone 3-5-2 in their last 10 games, scoring 25 goals while giving up 32 in that time. On 19 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored six goals (31.6%).

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Canadiens 4, Maple Leafs 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Canadiens (-170)
• Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.7 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens (34-18-10 overall) have an 11-10-21 record in contests that have required overtime.
• Montreal has 33 points (14-5-5) in the 24 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the four games this season the Canadiens recorded only one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
• Montreal has scored a pair of goals in eight games this season (2-5-1 record, five points).
• The Canadiens have scored three or more goals 47 times, and are 31-7-9 in those games (to record 71 points).
• In the 19 games when Montreal has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 14-4-1 to register 29 points.
• In the 24 games when it outshot its opponent, Montreal is 11-11-2 (24 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 34 games, going 20-6-8 to register 48 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a record of 27-26-11 this season and are 8-11-19 in overtime matchups.
• Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in six games and they've earned two points (0-4-2) in those contests.
• Toronto has 14 points (5-10-4) when scoring two goals this season.
• The Maple Leafs have earned 49 points in their 38 games with three or more goals scored.
• Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 21 games this season and has recorded 18 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 6-8-2 (14 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 46 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

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