Islanders vs. Ducks Prediction & Picks - March 4

Tampa Bay Lightning v Anaheim Ducks

Photo: Sean M. Haffey / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The New York Islanders (35-21-5, on a five-game winning streak) hit the road against the Anaheim Ducks (33-24-3) at Honda Center. The game on Wednesday, March 4 starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Wednesday's contest.

The Ducks have a 7-3-0 record over their last 10 games. They have scored 34 total goals (eight power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 25.8%) while giving up 32 goals to their opponents.

Islanders vs. Ducks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final result of Ducks 4, Islanders 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Ducks (-108)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Ducks (+1.5)

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Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders (35-21-5 overall) have a 12-5-17 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • New York has 36 points (18-5-0) in the 23 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 10 games this season the Islanders scored just one goal, they went 1-8-1 (three points).
  • New York has scored exactly two goals in 17 games this season (7-9-1 record, 15 points).
  • The Islanders have scored at least three goals in 32 games (26-3-3, 55 points).
  • In the 20 games when New York has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 30 points after finishing 14-4-2.
  • In the 27 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, New York is 9-14-4 (22 points).
  • The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Islanders finished 23-6-0 in those matchups (46 points).

Ducks Splits and Trends

  • The Ducks have a 14-3-17 record in overtime games this season and a 33-24-3 overall record.
  • Anaheim has earned 27 points (12-4-3) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Ducks scored only one goal in nine games and have gone 1-7-1 (three points).
  • When Anaheim has scored two goals this season, they've earned eight points (4-5-0 record).
  • The Ducks have earned 58 points in their 39 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Anaheim has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 16 games has a record of 12-2-2 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Anaheim has posted a record of 18-12-1 (37 points).
  • The Ducks have been outshot by opponents in 24 games, going 13-9-2 to record 28 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Islanders Rank Islanders AVG Ducks AVG Ducks Rank
21st 2.92 Goals Scored 3.22 13th
4th 2.74 Goals Allowed 3.52 31st
21st 27.3 Shots 30.3 3rd
17th 27.9 Shots Allowed 28.9 21st
31st 15.82% Power Play % 18.03% 23rd
10th 81.21% Penalty Kill % 77.37% 23rd

Islanders vs. Ducks Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Honda Center in Anaheim, California

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