Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Prediction & Picks - Jan. 29

The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-20-9) will try to break a five-game losing streak when they take on the Seattle Kraken (24-19-9) on the road on Thursday, Jan. 29 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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As hockey play continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which squad we project to win Thursday's game.

In the past 10 outings for the Kraken (4-5-1), their offense has totaled 31 goals while their defense has given up 28 goals. They have registered 29 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored six goals (20.7%).

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final tally of Kraken 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Kraken (-108)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Kraken (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (24-20-9 overall) have a 7-9-16 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Toronto has 30 points (11-3-8) in the 22 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal, they've finished 0-3-2 (two points).
  • Toronto has finished 4-5-3 in the 12 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 11 points).
  • The Maple Leafs are 20-11-4 in the 35 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 44 points).
  • In the 16 games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 6-6-4 record (16 points).
  • In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 5-6-1 (11 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 39 games, going 17-14-8 to record 42 points.

Kraken Splits and Trends

  • The Kraken have a 6-9-15 record in overtime games this season and a 24-19-9 overall record.
  • Seattle has earned 21 points (8-4-5) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Kraken registered just one goal in six games and they finished 0-5-1 in those matchups.
  • Seattle has six points (1-7-4) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Kraken have earned 49 points in their 32 games with three or more goals scored.
  • Seattle has scored a lone power-play goal in 25 games this season and has recorded 29 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Seattle has posted a record of 6-8-2 (14 points).
  • The Kraken have been outshot by opponents in 32 games, going 17-10-5 to register 39 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Kraken AVG Kraken Rank
11th 3.28 Goals Scored 2.83 24th
29th 3.43 Goals Allowed 2.9 10th
21st 27 Shots 25.4 29th
32nd 31.8 Shots Allowed 29.1 24th
24th 17.19% Power Play % 21.85% 12th
7th 83.21% Penalty Kill % 71.92% 31st

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington

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