The Tampa Bay Lightning (31-13-4) visit the Chicago Blackhawks (21-22-7) at United Center on Friday, Jan. 23 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, with each team fresh off of a win. The Lightning are coming off a 4-1 victory over the San Jose Sharks, while the Blackhawks defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in a shootout in their most recent outing.
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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Friday's hockey contest.
The Blackhawks' offense has totaled 25 goals over their last 10 outings, while their defense has conceded 25 goals. They have recorded 26 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored six goals (23.1%). They are 6-4-0 over those games.
Lightning vs. Blackhawks Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Blackhawks 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Blackhawks (+240)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Blackhawks (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 6-4-10 in overtime games as part of a 31-13-4 overall record.
- Tampa Bay is 7-7-2 (16 points) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
- Looking at the four times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
- Tampa Bay has taken nine points from the 11 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-5-3 record).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 31 games (27-4-0, 54 points).
- In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 22 points after finishing 10-3-2.
- In the 25 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 13-9-3 (29 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 22 games. The Lightning went 17-4-1 in those matchups (35 points).
Blackhawks Splits and Trends
- The Blackhawks (21-22-7 overall) have posted a record of 5-7-12 in games that have gone to OT this season.
- In the 17 games Chicago has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 16 points.
- This season the Blackhawks registered just one goal in eight games and they lost every time.
- Chicago has earned 11 points (4-6-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
- The Blackhawks have scored more than two goals 26 times, earning 38 points from those matchups (17-5-4).
- Chicago has scored a single power-play goal in 20 games this season and has registered 22 points from those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Chicago has posted a record of 8-5-3 (19 points).
- The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents 31 times this season, and earned 30 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Blackhawks AVG | Blackhawks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.5 | Goals Scored | 2.72 | 26th |
| 2nd | 2.48 | Goals Allowed | 3.08 | 17th |
| 20th | 27.3 | Shots | 25.1 | 31st |
| 7th | 26.1 | Shots Allowed | 29.7 | 26th |
| 16th | 20% | Power Play % | 21.43% | 12th |
| 3rd | 84.21% | Penalty Kill % | 85% | 1st |
Lightning vs. Blackhawks Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
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