The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-13-3) carry a six-game win streak into a road matchup with the San Jose Sharks (20-17-3), who have won three in a row, on Saturday, Jan. 3 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we think will come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.
Over the past 10 outings for the Sharks, their offense has totaled 37 goals while their defense has conceded 37 (they have a 6-4-0 record in those games). In 25 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored four goals (16.0% conversion rate).
Lightning vs. Sharks Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Sharks 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-192)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Sharks (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (24-13-3 overall) have a 5-3-8 record in contests that have needed overtime.
- Tampa Bay has 16 points (7-7-2) in the 16 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the three games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
- Tampa Bay has scored two goals in 10 games this season (3-5-2 record, eight points).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 25 games (21-4-0, 42 points).
- In the 14 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 20 points after finishing 9-3-2.
- In the 19 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 8-9-2 (18 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 20 times, and went 15-4-1 (31 points).
Sharks Splits and Trends
- The Sharks have a record of 20-17-3 this season and are 9-3-12 in overtime games.
- San Jose has earned 22 points (10-4-2) in its 16 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Sharks scored just one goal in six games and they lost every time.
- San Jose has earned five points (2-3-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
- The Sharks have earned 38 points in their 25 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, San Jose has recorded a lone power-play goal in 17 games and registered 21 points with a record of 10-6-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, San Jose is 3-6-0 (six points).
- The Sharks' opponents have had more shots in 31 games. The Sharks finished 17-11-3 in those matchups (37 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Sharks AVG | Sharks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th | 3.35 | Goals Scored | 3.05 | 18th |
| 4th | 2.65 | Goals Allowed | 3.45 | 30th |
| 20th | 27.3 | Shots | 25 | 30th |
| 7th | 26.6 | Shots Allowed | 31.2 | 31st |
| 23rd | 17.19% | Power Play % | 18.52% | 20th |
| 3rd | 83.7% | Penalty Kill % | 78.57% | 21st |
Lightning vs. Sharks Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California
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