Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - Jan. 3

The Toronto Maple Leafs (19-15-6) will attempt to stop a four-game road losing streak when they play the New York Islanders (22-15-4) on Saturday, Jan. 3 at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to secure the win in Saturday's hockey contest.

The Islanders have put up a 5-4-1 record in their last 10 games. They have scored 22 goals while conceding 25 in that period. On the power play, 31 opportunities have resulted in six goals (19.4% success rate).

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final score of Islanders 4, Maple Leafs 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Islanders (-108)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs are 19-15-6 overall and 4-6-10 in overtime contests.
• In the 16 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-3-5 record (good for 21 points).
• In the two games this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
• Toronto has scored a pair of goals in 11 games this season (3-5-3 record, nine points).
• The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 26 games (16-8-2, 34 points).
• In the 13 games when Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered 15 points after finishing 6-4-3.
• In the 11 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 4-6-1 (nine points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 28 games. The Maple Leafs finished 14-9-5 in those matchups (33 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

• The Islanders have a record of 22-15-4 this season and are 7-4-11 in overtime matchups.
• New York has earned 18 points (9-3-0) in its 12 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Islanders registered only one goal in six games and they lost every time.
• When New York has scored two goals this season, they've earned 13 points (6-8-1 record).
• The Islanders have earned 33 points in their 19 games with more than two goals scored.
• New York has scored a lone power-play goal in 15 games this season and has registered 22 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 5-10-3 (13 points).
• The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Islanders went 16-5-0 in those contests (32 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

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