The Detroit Pistons (25-8) are favored (by 4.5 points) to extend a five-game home win streak when they host the Miami Heat (18-15) on Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET.
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Pistons vs. Heat Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Pistons 120, Heat 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Pistons (-190)
- Total Pick: Under 236.5 (computer predicts 235.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Pistons (-4.5)
Recent Pistons vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29/2025 | Heat | -3.5 | 240.5 | -169 | +142 | 138-135 DET |
| 3/19/2025 | Pistons | -5 | 217.5 | -198 | +164 | 116-113 DET |
| 12/16/2024 | Heat | -4.5 | 219 | -193 | +160 | 125-124 DET |
| 11/12/2024 | Heat | -1.5 | 214.5 | -120 | +100 | 123-121 DET |
| 10/28/2024 | Heat | -8.5 | 219.5 | -357 | +284 | 106-98 MIA |
Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Detroit is 18-15-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 4.5 points or more, the Pistons have a 9-10 record against the spread.
- Detroit has gone over in 17 of its 33 games with a set total (51.5%).
- The Pistons have won 20, or 74.1%, of the 27 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Detroit has won 14 of its 17 games, or 82.4%, when favored by at least -190 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has a 19-13-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Heat have a 5-4-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
- In Miami's 33 games with a set total, 16 have hit the over (48.5%).
- The Heat have won 50% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (9-9).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +158 or longer, Miami has gone 2-8 (20%).
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Pistons vs. Heat Injury Report
Pistons
Pistons:
Caris LeVert: Out (Knee),
Tobias Harris: Day-To-Day (Hip)
Heat
Heat:
Pelle Larsson: Out (Ankle),
Simone Fontecchio: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Tyler Herro: Out (Toe)
Pistons vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSDETX
- Location: Detroit, Michigan
- Arena: Little Caesars Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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