Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 27

The Dallas Mavericks (12-20) are favored (by 3.5 points) to break a five-game road losing streak when they visit the Sacramento Kings (7-23) on Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET.

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Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Mavericks 117, Kings 116.

  • Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-154)
  • Total Pick: Over 232.5 (computer predicts 232.9 points)
  • Pick ATS: Kings (+3.5)

Recent Mavericks vs. Kings Matchups

Mavericks vs Kings (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/16/2025 Kings -5.5 213.5 -242 +198 120-106 DAL
3/3/2025 Kings -2 231.5 -127 +107 122-98 SAC
2/10/2025 Kings -1.5 239.5 -118 -101 129-128 SAC
12/30/2024 Kings -8.5 224 -341 +270 110-100 SAC

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Dallas has a 16-16-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Mavericks have a 2-5 record against the spread in games they were favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
  • Out of Dallas' 30 games with a set total, 15 have hit the over (50%).
  • This season, the Mavericks have won four out of the 10 games in which they've been favored.
  • Dallas has a record of 4-3 when it's favored by -154 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Kings 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Sacramento is 11-19-0 ATS this year.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Kings have a 10-14 record against the spread.
  • Sacramento's games have hit the over 14 out of 30 times (46.7%).
  • The Kings have been the underdog on the moneyline 27 total times this season. They've finished 5-22 in those games.
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +129 or longer, Sacramento has gone 5-19 (20.8%).

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Mavericks vs. Kings Injury Report

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Dante Exum: Out For Season (Knee),

Dereck Lively II: Out For Season (Foot),

Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee),

Anthony Davis: Questionable (Groin),

Brandon Williams: Day-To-Day (Calf)

Kings

Kings:

Drew Eubanks: Out (Thumb),

Zach LaVine: Out (Ankle),

Devin Carter: Questionable (Ankle),

Keegan Murray: Out (Calf),

Domantas Sabonis: Out (Knee)

Mavericks vs. Kings Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Saturday, December 27, 2025
  • Game time: 5 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: KFAA, NBCS-CA, and NBA TV
  • Location: Sacramento, California
  • Arena: Golden 1 Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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