The Dallas Mavericks (12-19) are underdogs (by 8.5 points) to stop a four-game road losing streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (15-15) on Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET.
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Listen to the game on 97.1 The Eagle
Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final score of Warriors 118, Mavericks 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-340)
- Total Pick: Over 227.5 (computer predicts 228.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Mavericks (+8.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Mavericks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/23/2025 | Warriors | -9 | 229.5 | -400 | +313 | 126-102 GS |
| 2/12/2025 | Warriors | -7.5 | 233.5 | -321 | +257 | 111-107 DAL |
| 12/15/2024 | Mavericks | -2 | 228.5 | -115 | -104 | 143-133 DAL |
| 11/12/2024 | Warriors | -2.5 | 235.5 | -143 | +121 | 120-117 GS |
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State is 14-16-0 ATS this season.
- In games they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Warriors are 5-3 against the spread.
- Golden State's games have gone over the point total in 16 out of 31 opportunities (51.6%).
- This season, the Warriors have been favored 20 times and won 11, or 55%, of those games.
- Golden State has a record of 6-2 when it's favored by -340 or more by bookmakers this season.
Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Dallas has gone 16-15-0 ATS this season.
- In games this year in which they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 6-2 record against the spread.
- Dallas has hit the over in 14 of its 31 games with a set total (45.2%).
- The Mavericks have won eight of the 21 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (38.1%).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +269 or longer, Dallas has a record of 2-6 (25%).
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Warriors vs. Mavericks Injury Report
Warriors
Warriors:
Seth Curry: Day-To-Day (Thigh),
Al Horford: Out (Back)
Mavericks
Mavericks:
Dante Exum: Out For Season (Knee),
Dereck Lively II: Out For Season (Foot),
Max Christie: Day-To-Day (Illness),
P.J. Washington: Day-To-Day (Foot),
Dwight Powell: Day-To-Day (Illness),
Klay Thompson: Day-To-Day (Knee),
Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee)
Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Game time: 5 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC and ESPN
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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