Stars vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Dec. 23

Two of the top teams in the league, the Dallas Stars (second in the Western Conference at 25-7-5) and the Detroit Red Wings (second in the Eastern Conference at 21-13-3), square off on Tuesday, Dec. 23 at 6:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we pick to come out on top in Tuesday's action on the ice.

Over the past 10 contests, the Red Wings have gone 7-2-1 while totaling 34 total goals (eight power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 30.8%). They have conceded 24 goals.

Stars vs. Red Wings Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Stars 4, Red Wings 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-128)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Red Wings (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 4-5-9 in overtime games as part of a 25-7-5 overall record.
  • Dallas has 23 points (10-1-3) in the 14 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the four times this season the Stars finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
  • Dallas has scored a pair of goals in seven games this season (2-2-3 record, seven points).
  • The Stars are 22-2-1 in the 25 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 45 points).
  • In the 13 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 12-1-0 to register 24 points.
  • In the 14 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 10-3-1 (21 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 14-4-4 to record 32 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have earned a record of 5-3-8 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall mark of 21-13-3.
  • In the 12 games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 19 points.
  • This season the Red Wings registered just one goal in five games and they lost every time.
  • When Detroit has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-3-1 record).
  • The Red Wings have scored three or more goals in 23 games, earning 38 points from those contests.
  • Detroit has scored a single power-play goal in 16 games this season and has recorded 21 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Detroit is 9-8-3 (21 points).
  • The Red Wings' opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Red Wings finished 12-4-0 in those contests (24 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
2nd 3.51 Goals Scored 3.08 13th
4th 2.57 Goals Allowed 3.16 20th
30th 25.1 Shots 29.4 8th
14th 27.9 Shots Allowed 27.4 12th
2nd 31.25% Power Play % 23.68% 8th
5th 83.9% Penalty Kill % 81.44% 15th

Stars vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan

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