Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Dec. 23

The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-15-5) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (15-11-9) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, Dec. 23 at 4 p.m. ET on TNT. The Maple Leafs have lost three games in a row.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Penguins have gone 2-4-4 in the past 10 games, scoring 27 total goals (nine power-play goals on 38 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 23.7%). They have conceded 38 goals to their opponents.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-135)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 15-15-5 record overall, with a 4-5-9 record in games that have required overtime.
  • Toronto has 18 points (7-3-4) in the 14 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Toronto has scored two goals in 10 games this season (3-5-2 record, eight points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 22 times, and are 12-8-2 in those games (to record 26 points).
  • In the 10 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 4-4-2 record (10 points).
  • In the 10 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 3-6-1 (seven points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 24 games, going 11-9-4 to record 26 points.

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins (15-11-9 overall) have posted a record of 2-9-11 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
  • Pittsburgh has earned 10 points (3-3-4) in its 10 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Penguins recorded just one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has three points (0-4-3) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Penguins have scored more than two goals 22 times, earning 34 points from those matchups (15-3-4).
  • This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 12 games and picked up nine points with a record of 3-6-3.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 5-7-5 (15 points).
  • The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Penguins went 9-4-4 in those matchups (22 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
12th 3.11 Goals Scored 3.03 15th
25th 3.34 Goals Allowed 3.09 17th
22nd 26.7 Shots 28.4 13th
31st 31.1 Shots Allowed 28.4 20th
32nd 13.33% Power Play % 29.59% 3rd
6th 83.16% Penalty Kill % 80.77% 18th

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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