Knicks vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 21

The New York Knicks (19-8) are favored by 7.5 points against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and MSG.

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Listen to the game on ESPN New York

Knicks vs. Heat Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Knicks 121, Heat 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Knicks (-331)
  • Total Pick: Under 236.5 (computer predicts 235.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+7.5)

Recent Knicks vs. Heat Matchups

Knicks vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/17/2025 Heat -1.5 244.5 -117 -102 115-113 MIA
11/14/2025 Knicks -6.5 240.5 -252 +205 140-132 NY
10/26/2025 Knicks -3.5 230.5 -164 +138 115-107 MIA
3/17/2025 Knicks -7 208.5 -288 +232 116-95 NY
3/2/2025 Knicks -6 220 -234 +192 116-112 NY
10/30/2024 Knicks -1.5 214 -122 +102 116-107 NY

Knicks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • New York has a 17-10-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Knicks are 9-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in 14 of New York's 28 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Knicks have won 18 out of the 24 games, or 75%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York has been at least a -331 moneyline favorite eight times this season and won all of those games.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 15-12-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 7.5-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 3-1 against the spread.
  • A total of 13 of Miami's 28 games with a set total have hit the over (46.4%).
  • The Heat have been the underdog on the moneyline 15 total times this season. They've finished 7-8 in those games.
  • Miami has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +264 or longer in two chances.

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Knicks vs. Heat Injury Report

Knicks

Knicks:

Miles McBride: Out (Ankle),

Landry Shamet: Out (Shoulder)

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Out (Elbow),

Davion Mitchell: Questionable (Ankle),

Andrew Wiggins: Questionable (Back),

Tyler Herro: Out (Toe),

Pelle Larsson: Out (Ankle)

Knicks vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Game time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and MSG
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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