Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Prediction & Picks - Dec. 11

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-11-4) take on the San Jose Sharks (14-14-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, Dec. 11 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs knocked off the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0 in their most recent game, while the Sharks are coming off a 4-1 loss to the Philadelphia Flyers.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which team we think will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

In the past 10 contests, the Sharks have registered a 4-6-0 record after putting up 24 total goals (eight power-play goals on 40 power-play opportunities during that span, for a success rate of 20.0%). Their opponents have scored a combined 33 goals in those games.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Sharks 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-204)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Sharks (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a 14-11-4 record overall, with a 4-4-8 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
• Toronto has 15 points (6-3-3) in the 12 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the one game this season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
• Toronto has finished 3-5-1 in the nine games this season when it scored two goals (registering seven points).
• The Maple Leafs are 11-6-2 in the 19 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 24 points).
• In the eight games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 3-4-1 to record seven points.
• In the eight games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 2-5-1 (five points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 20 times, and went 11-6-3 (25 points).

Sharks Splits and Trends

• The Sharks have a record of 14-14-3 this season and are 6-3-9 in overtime contests.
• San Jose has earned 16 points (7-4-2) in its 13 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Sharks registered just one goal in six games and they lost every time.
• San Jose has earned five points (2-1-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
• The Sharks have scored more than two goals in 18 games, earning 26 points from those contests.
• This season, San Jose has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 13 games and picked up 15 points with a record of 7-5-1.
• When it outshoots its opponent, San Jose is winless (0-4-0) this season.
• The Sharks have been outshot by opponents 27 times this season, and earned 31 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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