The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they play the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4) on the road on Monday, Dec. 8 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NHL Network.
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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Monday's hockey action.
The Maple Leafs' offense has scored 30 goals during their last 10 outings, while their defense has allowed 21 goals. They have recorded 24 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored two goals (8.3%). They are 5-3-2 over those contests.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-109)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 16-10-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime games.
- Tampa Bay has 14 points (6-6-2) in the 14 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken seven points from the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-4-1 record).
- The Lightning are 13-4-0 in the 17 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 26 points).
- In the nine games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 13 points after finishing 6-2-1.
- In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-6-1 (11 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 16 times, and went 11-4-1 (23 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a 4-4-8 record in overtime contests this season and a 13-11-4 overall record.
- In the 12 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 15 points.
- This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Toronto has five points (2-5-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 19 times, earning 24 points from those matchups (11-6-2).
- Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in eight games this season and has recorded seven points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 2-5-1 (five points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 10-6-3 to register 23 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10th | 3.14 | Goals Scored | 3.39 | 5th |
| 5th | 2.61 | Goals Allowed | 3.29 | 23rd |
| 18th | 27.2 | Shots | 27.0 | 20th |
| 12th | 27.1 | Shots Allowed | 31.4 | 31st |
| 27th | 14.77% | Power Play % | 14.08% | 30th |
| 3rd | 86.67% | Penalty Kill % | 81.48% | 13th |
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, December 8, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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