Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - Dec. 6

Colorado Avalanche v New York Islanders

Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-9-2) and New York Islanders (15-10-3) meet at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday, Dec. 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning lost to the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in their most recent outing, while the Islanders are coming off a 6-3 win over the Colorado Avalanche.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey game.

The Islanders have a 5-4-1 record in their past 10 games. They have totaled 23 goals while giving up 19 in that period. On the power play, 34 opportunities have resulted in three goals (8.8% success rate).

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Islanders 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-147)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 3-2-5 in overtime games on their way to a 16-9-2 overall record.
  • In the 14 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-6-2 record (good for 14 points).
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
  • The Lightning have scored at least three goals 17 times, and are 13-4-0 in those games (to record 26 points).
  • In the nine games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 6-2-1 record (13 points).
  • In the 11 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-5-1 (11 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 16 games, going 11-4-1 to register 23 points.

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders have a 4-3-7 record in overtime games this season and a 15-10-3 overall record.
  • New York has earned 16 points (8-2-0) in its 10 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Islanders registered just one goal in four games and they lost every time.
  • New York has two points (1-5-0) in six games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
  • The Islanders have scored three or more goals in 17 games, earning 29 points from those contests.
  • This season, New York has recorded a lone power-play goal in nine games and registered 13 points with a record of 6-2-1.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 3-9-2 (eight points).
  • The Islanders have been outshot by opponents in 12 games, going 11-1-0 to register 22 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
8th 3.26 Goals Scored 2.96 18th
6th 2.63 Goals Allowed 2.79 9th
20th 27 Shots 29.7 6th
13th 27.4 Shots Allowed 27.4 13th
25th 15.12% Power Play % 13.83% 29th
1st 87.36% Penalty Kill % 82.93% 8th

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

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