Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - Dec. 6

Colorado Avalanche v New York Islanders

Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-9-2), coming off a 4-3 loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins, host the New York Islanders (15-10-3) at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday, Dec. 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Islanders defeated the Colorado Avalanche 6-3 in their last outing.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will bring home the win in Saturday's hockey action.

The Islanders have gone 5-4-1 in their last 10 contests, putting up 23 goals while allowing 19 in that time. On 34 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored three goals (8.8%).

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Islanders 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-189)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 3-2-5 in overtime matchups as part of a 16-9-2 overall record.
  • Tampa Bay has 14 points (6-6-2) in the 14 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering seven points).
  • The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 17 games (13-4-0, 26 points).
  • In the nine games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 6-2-1 to record 13 points.
  • When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-5-1 (11 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those matchups (23 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders (15-10-3 overall) have posted a record of 4-3-7 in contests that have needed OT this season.
  • New York has earned 16 points (8-2-0) in its 10 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Islanders recorded only one goal in four games and they lost every time.
  • New York has two points (1-5-0) in six games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
  • The Islanders have earned 29 points in their 17 games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, New York has scored a single power-play goal in nine games and registered 13 points with a record of 6-2-1.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 3-9-2 (eight points).
  • The Islanders have been outshot by opponents 12 times this season, and earned 22 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
8th 3.26 Goals Scored 2.96 20th
6th 2.63 Goals Allowed 2.79 9th
20th 27 Shots 29.7 7th
13th 27.4 Shots Allowed 27.4 13th
25th 15.12% Power Play % 13.83% 29th
1st 87.36% Penalty Kill % 82.93% 8th

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

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