Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Dec. 4

Pittsburgh Penguins v Philadelphia Flyers

Photo: Emilee Chinn / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (13-7-5) at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, Dec. 4 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won four straight at home.

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As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we predict will capture the win in Thursday's game.

The Penguins have a 4-3-3 record over their last 10 contests. They have scored 25 goals while conceding 27 in that time. On the power play, 21 opportunities have resulted in six goals (28.6% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final score of Lightning 4, Penguins 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-182)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 16-8-2 record overall, with a 3-2-5 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Tampa Bay has 14 points (6-5-2) in the 13 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals 16 times, and are 13-3-0 in those games (to register 26 points).
  • In the eight games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it registered 13 points after finishing 6-1-1.
  • In the 10 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-4-1 (11 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 16 times, and went 11-4-1 (23 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins (13-7-5 overall) have posted a record of 1-5-6 in contests that have needed OT this season.
  • Pittsburgh has earned six points (2-3-2) in its seven games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Penguins recorded just one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has two points (0-3-2) in five games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
  • The Penguins have scored three or more goals in 16 games, earning 27 points from those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a single power-play goal in eight games has a record of 2-4-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 4-4-2 (10 points).
  • The Penguins have been outshot by opponents 14 times this season, and earned 19 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
8th 3.27 Goals Scored 3.16 10th
4th 2.58 Goals Allowed 2.72 9th
21st 26.5 Shots 26.9 20th
13th 27.3 Shots Allowed 28.4 19th
27th 15% Power Play % 33.33% 1st
1st 89.16% Penalty Kill % 84.93% 4th

Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

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