Photo: Chris Tanouye/Freestyle Photo / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Dallas Stars (16-5-4, on a three-game winning streak) host the Ottawa Senators (12-8-4) at American Airlines Center. The game on Sunday, Nov. 30 begins at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here's our pick for who will claim the win in Sunday's game.
Over the past 10 contests, the Senators have gone 6-3-1 while scoring 27 total goals (four power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 16.0%). They have given up 24 goals.
Stars vs. Senators Predictions for Sunday
Our computer model for this game predicts a final score of Stars 4, Senators 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Stars (-142)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)
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Stars Splits and Trends
- The Stars (16-5-4 overall) have a 3-4-7 record in matchups that have required overtime.
- In the 12 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-1-2 record (good for 20 points).
- Looking at the four times this season the Stars ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
- Dallas has scored two goals in four games this season (1-1-2 record, four points).
- The Stars have scored at least three goals 17 times, and are 14-2-1 in those games (to register 29 points).
- In the nine games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it won every time (18 points).
- In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 8-3-1 (17 points).
- The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 13 games. The Stars went 8-2-3 in those contests (19 points).
Senators Splits and Trends
- The Senators have a 4-4-8 record in overtime games this season and a 12-8-4 overall record.
- In the 13 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
- This season the Senators scored just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
- Ottawa has earned five points (1-1-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
- The Senators have scored more than two goals in 16 games, earning 23 points from those contests.
- This season, Ottawa has recorded a single power-play goal in 10 games and registered 13 points with a record of 6-3-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 6-5-0 (12 points).
- The Senators have been outshot by opponents 12 times this season, and earned 14 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Stars Rank | Stars AVG | Senators AVG | Senators Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th | 3.4 | Goals Scored | 3.13 | 9th |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 3.25 | 23rd |
| 25th | 25.9 | Shots | 26.5 | 22nd |
| 18th | 27.8 | Shots Allowed | 25.6 | 4th |
| 1st | 31.76% | Power Play % | 22.67% | 10th |
| 23rd | 78.48% | Penalty Kill % | 71.01% | 31st |
Stars vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
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