The Miami Heat (13-6) are 4.5-point favorites as they try to continue a four-game home winning streak when they take on the Detroit Pistons (15-4) on Saturday, November 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDETX.
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Heat vs. Pistons Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final score of Heat 120, Pistons 116.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-182)
- Total Pick: Under 238.5 (computer predicts 235.9 points)
- Pick ATS: Pistons (+4.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pistons Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/19/2025 | Pistons | -5 | 217.5 | -198 | +164 | 116-113 DET |
| 12/16/2024 | Heat | -4.5 | 219 | -193 | +160 | 125-124 DET |
| 11/12/2024 | Heat | -1.5 | 214.5 | -120 | +100 | 123-121 DET |
| 10/28/2024 | Heat | -8.5 | 219.5 | -357 | +284 | 106-98 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has a 12-6-1 record against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 4.5 points or more, the Heat have a 3-3 record against the spread.
- Miami has hit the over in 10 of its 19 games with a set total (52.6%).
- The Heat have been favorites in seven games this season and won six (85.7%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 5-1 when it's favored by -182 or more by bookmakers this season.
Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Detroit is 12-7-0 ATS this season.
- The Pistons are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
- Detroit's games have hit the over 10 out of 19 times (52.6%).
- The Pistons have won three of the four games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (75%).
- Detroit has played as a moneyline underdog of +152 or longer in just one game this season, which it won.
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Heat vs. Pistons Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Norman Powell: Probable (Groin),
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Questionable (Groin),
Andrew Wiggins: Probable (Hip)
Pistons
Pistons:
Bobi Klintman: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Marcus Sasser: Out (Hip)
Heat vs. Pistons Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSDETX
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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