Lightning vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - Nov. 26

Vancouver Canucks v Tampa Bay Lightning

Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Two streaking squads meet when the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-7-2) host the Calgary Flames (8-13-3) at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won four in a row, and the Flames are on a three-game win streak.

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Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Wednesday's game.

During the last 10 games for the Flames, their offense has totaled 27 goals while their defense has conceded 22 (they have a 5-4-1 record in those games). In 30 power-play opportunities during that span, they have capitalized with four goals (13.3% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Flames 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-190)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have gone 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of an overall record of 13-7-2.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-4-2 (14 points) in its 12 games decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering seven points).
  • The Lightning are 10-3-0 in the 13 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 20 points).
  • In the seven games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 11 points after finishing 5-1-1.
  • In the eight games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 4-3-1 (nine points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 14 times, and went 9-4-1 (19 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames have an 8-13-3 record this season and are 2-3-5 in games that have needed overtime.
  • In the five games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up three points.
  • This season the Flames scored only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
  • Calgary has six points (3-5-0) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Flames have scored three or more goals nine times, earning 12 points from those matchups (5-2-2).
  • Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in seven games this season and has recorded three points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 4-7-2 (10 points).
  • The Flames have been outshot by opponents 11 times this season, and earned nine points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
9th 3.14 Goals Scored 2.38 31st
7th 2.73 Goals Allowed 2.96 16th
24th 26.1 Shots 29.5 8th
14th 27.5 Shots Allowed 28.6 22nd
24th 15.71% Power Play % 13.41% 31st
2nd 87.50% Penalty Kill % 80.25% 18th

Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

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