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The Florida Panthers (9-7-1), coming off a 6-3 victory over the Washington Capitals, host the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-2) at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday, Nov. 15 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning fell to the New York Rangers 7-3 in their last game.
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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Saturday's hockey action.
The Lightning are 7-3-0 over their last 10 contests, scoring 33 goals while allowing 26 in that period. On 37 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored four goals (10.8%).
Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final score of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-132)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a 9-7-1 record overall, with a 1-1-2 record in games that have needed overtime.
- Florida has won all four of its games that were decided by one goal.
- In the three games this season the Panthers registered just one goal, they lost every time.
- Florida has taken three points from the three games this season when it scored exactly two goals (1-1-1 record).
- The Panthers are 8-2-0 in the 10 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 16 points).
- In the six games when Florida has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 4-2-0 record (eight points).
- In the nine games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 4-4-1 (nine points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents eight times, and went 5-3-0 (10 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (8-6-2 overall) have posted a record of 2-2-4 in games that have gone to OT this season.
- Tampa Bay has earned 12 points (5-4-2) in its 11 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning recorded only one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- When Tampa Bay has scored two goals this season, they've earned five points (2-3-1 record).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals nine times, earning 12 points from those matchups (6-3-0).
- Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in six games this season and has registered nine points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 3-2-1 (seven points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 10 games. The Lightning finished 5-4-1 in those contests (11 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24th | 2.82 | Goals Scored | 3.06 | 17th |
| 12th | 2.94 | Goals Allowed | 3 | 14th |
| 15th | 28.1 | Shots | 26.6 | 25th |
| 4th | 25.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.4 | 19th |
| 16th | 20% | Power Play % | 15.09% | 28th |
| 21st | 77.97% | Penalty Kill % | 88.24% | 3rd |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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