The Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-3) and Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) square off at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday, Nov. 6 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Golden Knights took down the Detroit Red Wings 1-0 in their most recent outing, while the Lightning are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Colorado Avalanche.
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Before this matchup, here is who we expect to emerge victorious in Thursday's hockey game.
Over the past 10 games, the Lightning are 5-3-2 while totaling 26 goals against 23 goals conceded. On 36 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored four goals (11.1%).
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Golden Knights 4, Lightning 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-127)
- Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Golden Knights (-1.5)
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Golden Knights Splits and Trends
- The Golden Knights have a 7-2-3 record overall, with a 1-3-4 record in games that have gone to overtime.
- Vegas has eight points (3-0-2) in the five games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the three games this season the Golden Knights registered just one goal, they went 1-0-2 (four points).
- Vegas has lost the only game this season when it scored two goals.
- The Golden Knights have scored at least three goals in seven games (6-0-1, 13 points).
- In the four games when Vegas has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 2-1-1 record (five points).
- When it has outshot its opponent, Vegas is 6-0-2 (14 points).
- The Golden Knights' opponents have had more shots in four games. The Golden Knights went 1-2-1 in those contests (three points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 2-2-4 record in overtime matchups this season and a 6-5-2 overall record.
- In the 10 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 10 points.
- This season the Lightning recorded only one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has five points (2-3-1) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals six times, earning eight points from those matchups (4-2-0).
- This season, Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in four games has a record of 2-1-1 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 3-1-1 (seven points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in eight games. The Lightning finished 3-4-1 in those contests (seven points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Golden Knights Rank | Golden Knights AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11th | 3.33 | Goals Scored | 2.85 | 19th |
| 5th | 2.58 | Goals Allowed | 2.77 | 10th |
| 14th | 28.5 | Shots | 26.5 | 24th |
| 6th | 25.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.5 | 15th |
| 8th | 25.00% | Power Play % | 13.64% | 28th |
| 14th | 81.25% | Penalty Kill % | 88.64% | 4th |
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada
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