Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Nov. 3

The Eastern Conference's 14th-ranked squad, the Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-1), host the third-ranked team from the Eastern Conference, the Pittsburgh Penguins (8-3-2), on Monday, Nov. 3 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Here is our pick for who will secure the win in Monday's game.

Over the last 10 contests, the Penguins have put up a 6-2-2 record after scoring 38 total goals (eight power-play goals on 21 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 38.1%). Their opponents have scored a combined 24 goals in those games.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final score of Penguins 4, Maple Leafs 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Penguins (+153)
• Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.8 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs are 2-1-3 in overtime games on their way to a 6-5-1 overall record.
• Toronto is 3-1-1 (seven points) in its five games decided by one goal.
• Toronto finished 1-2-0 in the three games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in nine games (5-3-1, 11 points).
• In the four games when Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 2-1-1 record (five points).
• In the five games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 1-3-1 (three points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents seven times, and went 5-2-0 (10 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins have earned a record of -2-2 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 8-3-2.
• Pittsburgh has earned two points (1-1-0) in its two games decided by one goal.
• This season the Penguins recorded only one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
• Pittsburgh has one point (0-1-1) in two games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
• The Penguins have scored at least three goals in 10 games, earning 17 points from those contests.
• This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in four games has a record of 2-1-1 in those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 3-1-0 (six points).
• The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in nine games, going 5-2-2 to record 12 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, November 3, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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