Lightning vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Oct. 30

Something has to give when the Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2, riding a three-game winning streak) host the Dallas Stars (6-3-1, also winners of three straight). The contest on Thursday, Oct. 30 starts at 7 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Thursday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Stars Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Stars 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-150)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 4-4-2 overall and 1-2-3 in overtime contests.
• In the eight games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 3-3-2 record (good for eight points).
• In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
• Tampa Bay has taken three points from the four games this season when it scored a pair of goals (1-2-1 record).
• The Lightning are 3-2-0 in the five games when they have scored three or more goals (to register six points).
• In the three games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 1-1-1 to record three points.
• When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 2-1-1 (five points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents six times, and went 2-3-1 (five points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars (6-3-1 overall) have posted a record of 1-1-2 in games that have needed OT this season.
• Dallas has earned nine points (4-0-1) in its five games decided by one goal.
• This season the Stars scored just one goal in three games and they've earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
• Dallas lost in overtime in its only game this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
• The Stars have scored at least three goals six times, earning 10 points from those matchups (5-1-0).
• Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in three games this season and won all of those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 3-1-1 (seven points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in five games. The Stars finished 3-2-0 in those matchups (six points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, October 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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