Grizzlies vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 24

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) are favored by 4.5 points against the Miami Heat (0-1) on Friday, October 24, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Grizzlies vs. Heat Predictions for Friday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final score of Grizzlies 128, Heat 120.

  • Moneyline Pick: Grizzlies (-199)
  • Total Pick: Over 232.5 (computer predicts 248.0 points)
  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (-4.5)

Recent Grizzlies vs. Heat Matchups

Grizzlies vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/3/2025 Grizzlies -5.5 226.5 -221 +182 110-108 MEM
3/15/2025 Grizzlies -6 225.5 -240 +196 125-91 MEM

Grizzlies 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Memphis had 41 wins in 82 games against the spread last season.
  • The Grizzlies went 21-15 as 4.5-point favorites or more last year.
  • Last year, 47 of Memphis' 82 games hit the over.
  • The Grizzlies went 39-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 75% of those games).
  • Memphis had a record of 24-6 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -199 or shorter last year (80%).

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami won 38 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 44 times.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 4.5 points or more, the Heat went 12-10-1 last season.
  • A total of 44 of Miami's games last season went over the point total.
  • Last season, the Heat were the underdog 36 times and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games.
  • Last season, Miami won four of its 17 games, or 23.5%, when it was the underdog by at least +166 on the moneyline.

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Grizzlies vs. Heat Injury Report

Grizzlies

Grizzlies:

Zach Edey: Out (Ankle),

Brandon Clarke: Out (Knee),

Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (Toe),

Ty Jerome: Out (Calf),

Vince Williams: Day-To-Day (Heel)

Heat

Heat:

Tyler Herro: Out (Ankle),

Kasparas Jakucionis: Day-To-Day (Groin)

Grizzlies vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, October 24, 2025
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Arena: FedExForum
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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