Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 21

Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks

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The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Houston Rockets as 7.5-point favorites on Tuesday, October 21, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock. This contest is the 2025-26 season opener for both teams.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final tally of Thunder 119, Rockets 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-321)
  • Total Pick: Under 228.5 (computer predicts 224.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-7.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Rockets Matchups

Thunder vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/4/2025 Thunder -5.5 227 -230 +190 125-111 HOU
3/3/2025 Thunder -11.5 228.5 -562 +409 137-128 OKC
12/14/2024 Thunder -5.5 215.5 -245 +199 111-96 OKC
12/1/2024 Thunder -1.5 220.5 -117 -102 119-116 HOU
11/8/2024 Thunder -7.5 222 -346 +271 126-107 OKC

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City had 54 wins in 82 games against the spread last season.
  • As 7.5-point favorites or more, the Thunder went 35-17-1 against the spread last year.
  • There were 46 Oklahoma City games (out of 82) that went over the total last year.
  • The Thunder finished with a 66-13 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 83.5% of those games).
  • Oklahoma City had a record of 41-7 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -321 or shorter last year (85.4%).

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston compiled a 43-39-0 ATS record last season.
  • As a 7.5-point underdog or greater, the Rockets had one win ATS (1-3) last year.
  • In Houston's games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 45 times.
  • Last season, the Rockets were the underdog 28 times and won 11, or 39.3%, of those games.
  • Houston did not win as an underdog of +257 or more on the moneyline last season in four games with those odds or longer.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Jalen Williams: Out (Wrist)

Rockets

Rockets:

Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),

Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC and Peacock
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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