Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Oct. 13

Toronto Maple Leafs v Detroit Red Wings

Photo: Nic Antaya / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1) square off against the Detroit Red Wings (1-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Oct. 13 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs fell to the Detroit Red Wings 6-3 in their last game, while the Red Wings are coming off a 6-3 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which team will bring home the win in Monday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Maple Leafs 5, Red Wings 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-161)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 7.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) had a 13-6-19 record last season in matchups that went to overtime.
  • In the 33 games Toronto played that were decided by one goal, it had a 25-4-4 record (good for 54 points).
  • Looking at the 14 times last season the Maple Leafs ended a game with only one goal, they had a 1-12-1 record, picking up three points.
  • Toronto finished 4-10-1 in the 15 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering nine points).
  • The Maple Leafs scored three or more goals in 61 games (54-3-4, 112 points).
  • In the 35 games when Toronto scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 52 points by finishing 25-8-2.
  • In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent 54 times, and went 37-14-3 (77 points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings had a 9-8-17 record in overtime games last season, and a 39-35-8 overall record.
  • Detroit picked up 34 points (13-8-8) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
  • In 18 games last season when the Red Wings ended up with only one goal, they picked up four points (1-15-2).
  • Detroit picked up 16 points (7-8-2 record) last season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Red Wings scored more than two goals 45 times, accumulating 66 points (31-10-4).
  • Detroit scored a single power-play goal in 26 games last season and recorded 23 points.
  • When it outshot its opponent last season, Detroit posted a record of 18-16-2 (38 points).
  • The Red Wings were outshot by their opponents 43 times last season, and took 42 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
7th 3.26 Goals Scored 2.87 22nd
8th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.16 21st
18th 28 Shots 27.4 24th
25th 29.3 Shots Allowed 28.5 15th
9th 24.77% Power Play % 27.43% 4th
17th 77.87% Penalty Kill % 70.27% 32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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