Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Oct. 13

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1) and Detroit Red Wings (1-1) square off at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Oct. 13 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs lost to the Detroit Red Wings 6-3 in their last game, while the Red Wings are coming off a 6-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a peek at which squad we predict will bring home the victory in Monday's action on the ice.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final score of Maple Leafs 5, Red Wings 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-187)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 7.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs were 52-26-4 overall and 13-6-19 in overtime contests last season.
In the 33 games Toronto played that were decided by one goal, it had a 25-4-4 record (good for 54 points).
In the 14 games last season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they went 1-12-1 (three points).
Toronto scored exactly two goals in 15 games last season (4-10-1 record, nine points).
The Maple Leafs scored at least three goals 61 times, and went 54-3-4 in those games (to record 112 points).
In the 35 games when Toronto scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 52 points by finishing 25-8-2.
When it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 18-13-2 (38 points).
The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent in 54 games, going 37-14-3 to register 77 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

The Red Wings had a record of 39-35-8 last season and were 9-8-17 in overtime games.
In the 29 games Detroit played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 34 points.
In 18 games last season when the Red Wings finished with just one goal, they picked up four points (1-15-2).
Detroit picked up 16 points (7-8-2 record) last season when scoring a pair of goals .
The Red Wings scored three or more goals in 45 games, earning 66 points from those contests.
Detroit scored a single power-play goal in 26 games last season and registered 23 points.
When it outshot its opponent last season, Detroit posted a record of 18-16-2 (38 points).
The Red Wings' opponents had more shots in 43 games last season. The Red Wings finished 18-19-6 in those games (42 points).

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Maple Leafs Rank	Maple Leafs AVG		Red Wings AVG	Red Wings Rank
7th	3.26	Goals Scored	2.87	22nd
8th	2.79	Goals Allowed	3.16	21st
18th	28	Shots	27.4	24th
25th	29.3	Shots Allowed	28.5	15th
9th	24.77%	Power Play %	27.43%	4th
17th	77.87%	Penalty Kill %	70.27%	32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

When: Monday, October 13, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario