Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Oct. 11

Montreal Canadiens v Detroit Red Wings

Photo: Gregory Shamus / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-0) and Detroit Red Wings (0-1) meet at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, Oct. 11 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs defeated the Montreal Canadiens 5-2 in their most recent game, while the Red Wings are coming off a 5-1 loss to the Montreal Canadiens.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Maple Leafs 6, Red Wings 0.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-145)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.5 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs were 13-6-19 in overtime games on their way to a 52-26-4 overall record last season.
  • Toronto picked up 54 points (25-4-4) in the 33 games it played that were decided by one goal.
  • The 14 times last season the Maple Leafs finished a game with just one goal, they went 1-12-1 (three points).
  • Toronto finished 4-10-1 in the 15 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering nine points).
  • The Maple Leafs were 54-3-4 when they scored more than two goals (to record 112 points).
  • In the 35 games when Toronto scored a single power-play goal, it had a 25-8-2 record (52 points).
  • In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent 54 times, and went 37-14-3 (77 points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings had a 9-8-17 record in overtime games last season, and a 39-35-8 overall record.
  • Detroit accumulated 34 points (13-8-8) in its 29 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • In 18 games last season when the Red Wings finished with only one goal, they picked up four points (1-15-2).
  • Detroit accumulated 16 points (7-8-2) when scoring two goals last season.
  • The Red Wings scored three or more goals in 45 games, earning 66 points from those contests.
  • Detroit scored a lone power-play goal in 26 games last season and recorded 23 points.
  • When it outshot its opponent last season, Detroit posted a record of 18-16-2 (38 points).
  • The Red Wings were outshot by their opponents 43 times last season, and took 42 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
7th 3.26 Goals Scored 2.87 22nd
8th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.16 21st
18th 28 Shots 27.4 24th
25th 29.3 Shots Allowed 28.5 15th
9th 24.77% Power Play % 27.43% 4th
17th 77.87% Penalty Kill % 70.27% 32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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