Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens hit the ice at Scotiabank Arena in a season opener on Wednesday, Oct. 8 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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As teams hit the ice for the beginning of the NHL season, here's who we project to bring home the win in Wednesday's action.
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Canadiens 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-173)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs had a 52-26-4 record overall, with a 13-6-19 record in contests that needed overtime, last season.
- In the 33 games Toronto played that were decided by one goal, it had a 25-4-4 record (good for 54 points).
- In the 14 games last season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal, they went 1-12-1 (three points).
- Toronto took nine points from the 15 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (4-10-1 record).
- The Maple Leafs scored at least three goals 61 times, and went 54-3-4 in those games (to record 112 points).
- In the 35 games when Toronto scored a lone power-play goal, it had a 25-8-2 record (52 points).
- In the 33 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 18-13-2 (38 points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponent had more shots in 54 games last season. The Maple Leafs finished 37-14-3 in those contests (77 points).
Canadiens Splits and Trends
- The Canadiens had a record of 40-31-11 last season and were 10-12-22 in overtime contests.
- Montreal picked up 40 points (16-4-8) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
- Across the 11 games last season the Canadiens ended up with only one goal, they picked up five points.
- When Montreal scored two goals last season, they amassed 10 points (3-11-4 record).
- The Canadiens picked up 78 points in their 53 games when they scored more than two goals.
- Last season Montreal scored a lone power-play goal in 33 games and picked up 39 points, with a record of 16-10-7.
- When outshooting its opponent last season, Montreal was 18-11-2 (38 points).
- The Canadiens were outshot by their opponents 53 times last season, and took 54 points from those games.
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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Canadiens AVG | Canadiens Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7th | 3.26 | Goals Scored | 2.96 | 17th |
| 8th | 2.79 | Goals Allowed | 3.18 | 22nd |
| 18th | 28 | Shots | 25.5 | 30th |
| 25th | 29.3 | Shots Allowed | 29 | 23rd |
| 9th | 24.77% | Power Play % | 20.09% | 21st |
| 17th | 77.87% | Penalty Kill % | 80.93% | 9th |
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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