Oilers vs. Panthers Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Final Game 5

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The Edmonton Oilers are on their home ice at Rogers Place to play the Florida Panthers for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final on Saturday, June 14, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on TNT. The series is tied 2-2. The Oilers have -110 odds on the moneyline against the Panthers (-109).

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to secure the win in Saturday's Stanley Cup Final action.

Oilers vs. Panthers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Oilers 4, Panthers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-110)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Panthers (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers are 17-6-23 in overtime contests on their way to a 48-29-5 overall record.
  • Edmonton is 28-13-5 (61 points) in its 46 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the eight times this season the Oilers ended a game with just one goal, they have a 2-6-0 record, good for four points.
  • Edmonton has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-9-2 record).
  • The Oilers have scored three or more goals 75 times, and are 58-13-4 in those games (to record 120 points).
  • In the 41 games when Edmonton has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 25-11-5 to record 55 points.
  • In the 70 games when it outshot its opponent, Edmonton is 47-18-5 (99 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 10-15-1 to record 21 points.

Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers have a 12-6-18 record in overtime matchups this season and a 47-31-4 overall record.
  • In the 27 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 32 points.
  • In 17 games this season when the Panthers finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of six points (3-14-0).
  • Florida has 16 points (7-7-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Panthers have scored more than two goals in 63 games, earning 106 points from those contests.
  • This season, Florida has recorded a single power-play goal in 45 games and registered 63 points with a record of 29-11-5.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 39-23-4 (82 points).
  • The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Panthers went 15-10-2 in those matchups (32 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Panthers AVG Panthers Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3 15th
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.72 7th
1st 32 Shots 31.5 3rd
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 26.2 5th
12th 23.72% Power Play % 23.83% 11th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 80.42% 10th

Oilers vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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