The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 3-3.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Thunder 122, Nuggets 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-339)
- Total Pick: Over 213 (computer predicts 231.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/15/2025 | Thunder | -5 | 217 | -196 | +163 | 119-107 DEN |
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has gone 54-26-2 ATS this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 29-16-1 against the spread.
- Out of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 46 have hit the over (56.1%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 66 (83.5%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 40-7, a 85.1% win rate, when it's favored by -339 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver is 38-44-0 against the spread this year.
- The Nuggets are 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
- Of Denver's 82 games with a set total, 49 have hit the over (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have won 50% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (10-10).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +270 or longer, Denver has gone 2-1 (66.7%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Hunter Tyson: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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