The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Nuggets lead the series 2-1.
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final score of Thunder 120, Nuggets 112.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-245)
- Total Pick: Over 227.5 (computer predicts 231.8 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-6)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has gone 54-26-2 ATS this season.
- The Thunder are 37-21-1 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have won 66, or 83.5%, of the 79 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 50 of its 60 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -245 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver has a 38-44-0 record against the spread this year.
- In games this season in which they were an underdog by 6 points or more, the Nuggets have a 5-3 record against the spread.
- Denver has hit the over in 49 of its 82 games with a set total (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have been the underdog on the moneyline 20 total times this season. They've gone 10-10 in those games.
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +199 or longer, Denver has a record of 4-2 (66.7%).
Looking for NBA tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Sign up for NBA League Pass to get access to games, live and on-demand, and more for the entire season and offseason.