Stars vs. Jets Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Game 3

Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round will see the Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets play on Sunday, May 11, starting at 4:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The series is tied 1-1. Bookmakers list the Jets as the underdog in this matchup, listing them +123 moneyline odds against the Stars (-148).

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which team we predict will emerge with the victory in Sunday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.

Stars vs. Jets Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final result of Stars 4, Jets 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-148)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Jets (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars are 50-26-6 overall and 11-6-17 in overtime games.
• Dallas is 18-7-4 (40 points) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
• In the 10 games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they've finished 1-9-0 (two points).
• Dallas has finished 7-8-3 in the 18 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 17 points).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals in 60 games (47-10-3, 97 points).
• In the 33 games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 24-8-1 to register 49 points.
• In the 36 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 51 games. The Stars went 31-15-5 in those matchups (67 points).

Jets Splits and Trends

• The Jets have a 56-22-4 record this season and are 14-4-18 in games that have required overtime.
• In the 27 games Winnipeg has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 41 points.
• Across the 15 games this season the Jets finished with just one goal, they have earned four points.
• Winnipeg has earned 15 points (7-10-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Jets have scored three or more goals 57 times, earning 107 points from those matchups (53-3-1).
• This season, Winnipeg has scored a lone power-play goal in 34 games has a record of 26-7-1 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Winnipeg is 41-5-1 (83 points).
• The Jets have been outshot by opponents in 43 games, going 19-21-3 to record 41 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Jets Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TBS
• Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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