The Florida Panthers are on their home ice at Amerant Bank Arena Sunday to play the Toronto Maple Leafs for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Maple Leafs are ahead in the series 2-1. The Maple Leafs are underdogs (+156) against the Panthers (-188).
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which squad will secure the win in Sunday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this game expects a final result of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-188)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers (47-31-4 overall) have an 11-4-15 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
- Florida is 12-8-4 (28 points) in its 24 games decided by one goal.
- In the 17 games this season the Panthers scored just one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
- Florida has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (6-7-2 record, 14 points).
- The Panthers are 43-8-2 in the 53 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 88 points).
- In the 40 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 25-11-4 record (54 points).
- In games when it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 35-22-3 (73 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to register 23 points.
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a 13-6-19 record in overtime contests this season and a 52-26-4 overall record.
- In the 33 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 54 points.
- In 12 games this season when the Maple Leafs ended a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-10-1).
- When Toronto has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-10-1 record).
- The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 61 times, earning 112 points from those matchups (54-3-4).
- This season, Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 35 games and registered 52 points with a record of 25-8-2.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 18-13-2 (38 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 51 games, going 36-12-3 to register 75 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3 | Goals Scored | 3.26 | 7th |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.79 | 8th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28 | 18th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 29.3 | 25th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 24.77% | 9th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 77.87% | 17th |
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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