The Golden State Warriors are 5-point underdogs in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Chase Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final result of Warriors 112, Timberwolves 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (+178)
- Total Pick: Over 200.5 (computer predicts 222.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 201.5 | -543 | +404 | 117-93 MIN |
| 5/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 210.5 | -246 | +200 | 99-88 GS |
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
| 3/24/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 114-110 MIN |
| 11/14/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 216.5 | -152 | +126 | 104-101 MIN |
| 11/12/2023 | Warriors | -3 | 222 | -151 | +126 | 116-110 MIN |
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves are 17-20 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in 44 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
- The Timberwolves have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 40 (63.5%) of those contests.
- This season, Minnesota has won 26 of its 37 games, or 70.3%, when favored by at least -216 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State's ATS record is 42-40-0 this year.
- The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this year.
- Golden State's games have hit the over 41 out of 82 times (50%).
- The Warriors have won 40.7% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (11-16).
- Golden State has a record of 4-5 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +178 or longer (44.4%).
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Robert Dillingham: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Warriors
Warriors:
Stephen Curry: Out (Hamstring)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, May 10, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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